Elmore et al in their article published
in JAMA report their findings on diagnostic disagreement among 115 pathologists compared with a
consensus panel.
The participating pathologists
independently interpreted 240 cases, that included 23 cases of invasive breast
cancer, 73 cases of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), 72 cases with atypical
hyperplasia (atypia), and 72 benign cases without atypia. Among the 3 consensus
panel members, unanimous agreement of their independent diagnoses was 75%, and
concordance with the consensus-derived reference diagnoses was 90.3%.
Compared with the consensus-derived
reference diagnosis, the overall concordance rate of diagnostic interpretations
of participating pathologists was 75.3%. Among invasive carcinoma cases 96% were
concordant; among DCIS cases 84% were concordant, with 3% were over interpreted,
and 13% were under interpreted; among atypia cases 48% were concordant, with 17%
were over interpreted, and 35% were under interpreted; and among benign cases
without atypia 87% were concordant. Disagreement with the reference diagnosis was
statistically significantly higher among biopsies from women whose breasts were
dense on prior mammograms.
In this study overall agreement between the individual
pathologists’ interpretations and the expert consensus-derived reference
diagnoses-was 75.3 percent, with the highest level of agreement 96 percent for
invasive carcinoma and lower levels of agreement for DCIS 87 percent. However, with atypical ductal hyperplasia the
pathologists matched the experts only in 48 percent of the time.
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